Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000173 0.000194 0.000216 0.000241 0.000269 0.000299 0.000334
2025-06-29 0.000144 0.000172 0.000204 0.000242 0.000288 0.000340 0.000405
2025-07-06 0.000123 0.000155 0.000193 0.000242 0.000304 0.000378 0.000474
2025-07-13 0.000105 0.000139 0.000182 0.000239 0.000314 0.000409 0.000538
2025-07-20 0.000095 0.000131 0.000179 0.000246 0.000336 0.000456 0.000624
2025-07-27 0.000085 0.000123 0.000173 0.000247 0.000352 0.000494 0.000703
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000114 0.000167 0.000247 0.000364 0.000529 0.000779
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000106 0.000160 0.000245 0.000373 0.000558 0.000848
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000101 0.000157 0.000247 0.000387 0.000596 0.000933
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000094 0.000150 0.000243 0.000392 0.000621 0.000999
2025-08-31 0.000052 0.000088 0.000145 0.000242 0.000401 0.000651 0.001075
2025-09-07 0.000048 0.000084 0.000142 0.000242 0.000412 0.000685 0.001158
2025-09-14 0.000044 0.000079 0.000137 0.000240 0.000419 0.000715 0.001241
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000076 0.000135 0.000244 0.000436 0.000761 0.001354
2025-09-28 0.000038 0.000072 0.000132 0.000245 0.000448 0.000802 0.001461
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000068 0.000128 0.000242 0.000455 0.000832 0.001550
2025-10-12 0.000034 0.000067 0.000128 0.000249 0.000478 0.000893 0.001701
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000064 0.000126 0.000251 0.000493 0.000940 0.001829
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000062 0.000124 0.000251 0.000503 0.000980 0.001947
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000059 0.000120 0.000249 0.000509 0.001012 0.002051
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000057 0.000118 0.000250 0.000524 0.001060 0.002191
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000053 0.000114 0.000247 0.000526 0.001086 0.002288
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000051 0.000112 0.000246 0.000534 0.001123 0.002409